Pre-tourney Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#183
Pace63.9#267
Improvement+1.4#103

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#238
First Shot-3.1#269
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#136
Layup/Dunks+6.0#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.4#351
Freethrows+1.7#61
Improvement+0.5#154

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#325
Layups/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows+1.5#83
Improvement+0.9#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four48.2% n/a n/a
First Round77.4% n/a n/a
Second Round1.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2016 20   @ Oklahoma St. L 72-117 4%     0 - 1 -26.0 -6.8 -13.3
  Nov 19, 2016 126   @ Tulsa L 68-77 29%     0 - 2 -4.5 -0.1 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2016 58   @ USC L 54-88 11%     0 - 3 -22.2 -14.4 -7.4
  Nov 29, 2016 223   Tulane W 74-59 69%     1 - 3 +8.6 -2.3 +10.9
  Dec 03, 2016 171   @ Washington St. W 70-54 36%     2 - 3 +18.4 +10.3 +10.8
  Dec 11, 2016 40   @ Northwestern L 49-83 8%     2 - 4 -20.0 -14.6 -6.1
  Dec 17, 2016 151   Louisiana L 71-76 52%     2 - 5 -6.9 -7.6 +0.7
  Dec 19, 2016 121   @ Utah St. L 66-76 28%     2 - 6 -5.1 -2.1 -3.5
  Dec 29, 2016 305   Abilene Christian W 75-66 83%     3 - 6 1 - 0 -2.6 +5.9 -7.4
  Dec 31, 2016 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-72 OT 66%     4 - 6 2 - 0 -4.5 -7.3 +2.8
  Jan 05, 2017 233   @ Lamar W 66-62 OT 53%     5 - 6 3 - 0 +2.0 -7.6 +9.7
  Jan 07, 2017 309   @ Incarnate Word W 87-72 72%     6 - 6 4 - 0 +7.7 +10.5 -2.4
  Jan 12, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. L 68-70 73%     6 - 7 4 - 1 -9.7 +0.6 -10.4
  Jan 19, 2017 219   Houston Baptist W 72-64 68%     7 - 7 5 - 1 +1.8 -0.2 +2.6
  Jan 21, 2017 314   @ Central Arkansas W 81-63 73%     8 - 7 6 - 1 +10.3 +12.7 +0.4
  Jan 26, 2017 319   McNeese St. W 75-56 86%     9 - 7 7 - 1 +5.9 -7.3 +12.3
  Jan 28, 2017 228   @ Stephen F. Austin L 61-71 52%     9 - 8 7 - 2 -11.7 -7.0 -5.2
  Feb 01, 2017 305   @ Abilene Christian L 69-70 OT 69%     9 - 9 7 - 3 -7.6 +0.1 -7.8
  Feb 04, 2017 318   Nicholls St. W 78-69 86%     10 - 9 8 - 3 -4.0 -3.1 -1.1
  Feb 09, 2017 319   @ McNeese St. W 69-63 74%     11 - 9 9 - 3 -2.1 -6.2 +4.2
  Feb 11, 2017 249   @ SE Louisiana W 60-52 56%     12 - 9 10 - 3 +5.3 -7.6 +13.3
  Feb 18, 2017 314   Central Arkansas W 84-61 86%     13 - 9 11 - 3 +10.2 +6.7 +5.3
  Feb 23, 2017 228   Stephen F. Austin W 82-65 70%     14 - 9 12 - 3 +10.2 +10.5 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2017 300   @ Northwestern St. L 82-83 68%     14 - 10 12 - 4 -7.3 +1.8 -9.0
  Mar 02, 2017 249   SE Louisiana L 58-63 73%     14 - 11 12 - 5 -12.8 -8.1 -5.3
  Mar 04, 2017 318   @ Nicholls St. W 74-64 74%     15 - 11 13 - 5 +2.0 -1.4 +3.6
  Mar 10, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. W 75-63 65%     16 - 11 +6.9 +9.7 -1.8
  Mar 11, 2017 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-65 OT 56%     17 - 11 +0.1 +0.7 -0.3
Projected Record 17.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.1 16.9 83.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 16.9 83.1